BEGIN:VCALENDAR
VERSION:2.0
PRODID:-//Macro Desk//US macro calendar//EN
CALSCALE:GREGORIAN
X-WR-CALNAME:Macro Desk — US macro events
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:ism_m-2026-09-01@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260901T140000Z
DTEND:20260901T143000Z
SUMMARY:ISM Manufacturing PMI (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:First business day of the month\, 10:00 AM ET. Prices-paid sub-index is the inflation read.\n\nGold: Prices paid above 60 is a hawkish tell. Headline below 48 revives the growth-scare bid for gold.\n\nBot: Half size on the 10:00 print\; watch prices paid.\n\nhttps://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/
URL:https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/
CATEGORIES:GROWTH
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:jolts-2026-09-01@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260901T140000Z
DTEND:20260901T143000Z
SUMMARY:JOLTS job openings
DESCRIPTION:Jul 2026\nJob openings\, hires and quits\, 10:00 AM ET\, one month lagged.\n\nGold: Occasional mover when openings crack. Quits rate is the wage-pressure tell.\n\nBot: Log\; trade only on a 300k+ surprise.\n\nhttps://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
URL:https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
CATEGORIES:LABOR
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:adp-2026-09-02@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260902T121500Z
DTEND:20260902T124500Z
SUMMARY:ADP private payrolls (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Private payroll estimate\, 8:15 AM ET\, two days before NFP.\n\nGold: It predicts payrolls poorly\, but the market trades it for fifteen minutes anyway.\n\nBot: Log only\; useful as a pre-NFP positioning tell.\n\nhttps://adpemploymentreport.com/
URL:https://adpemploymentreport.com/
CATEGORIES:LABOR
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:ism_s-2026-09-03@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260903T140000Z
DTEND:20260903T143000Z
SUMMARY:ISM Services PMI (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Third business day of the month\, 10:00 AM ET.\n\nGold: Services is 70% of the economy. Employment and prices sub-indices drive the reaction.\n\nBot: Half size.\n\nhttps://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/
URL:https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/
CATEGORIES:GROWTH
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:nfp-2026-09-04@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260904T123000Z
DTEND:20260904T130000Z
SUMMARY:★ Jobs report (nonfarm payrolls)
DESCRIPTION:Aug 2026\nEmployment Situation: payrolls\, unemployment rate\, average hourly earnings\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Weak payrolls plus a rising unemployment rate is the classic gold rally. Watch revisions to the prior two months and average hourly earnings for the inflation angle.\n\nBot: Flat 15 min before. Three-factor score: payrolls surprise\, unemployment change\, AHE surprise. Fade if factors disagree.\n\nhttps://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
URL:https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
CATEGORIES:LABOR
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2026-09-08@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260908T170000Z
DTEND:20260908T173000Z
SUMMARY:3-year note auction
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2026-09-09@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260909T170000Z
DTEND:20260909T173000Z
SUMMARY:10-year note auction (reopening)
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:ppi-2026-09-10@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260910T123000Z
DTEND:20260910T130000Z
SUMMARY:PPI final demand
DESCRIPTION:Aug 2026\nProducer Price Index\, final demand\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Second-tier inflation print. Matters most when it lands the day before CPI or when PCE-relevant components (healthcare\, airfares\, portfolio management) surprise.\n\nBot: Half size versus CPI. Read through to the PCE nowcast.\n\nhttps://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
URL:https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
CATEGORIES:INFLATION
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:claims-2026-09-10@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260910T123000Z
DTEND:20260910T130000Z
SUMMARY:Initial jobless claims
DESCRIPTION:Weekly unemployment insurance claims\, Thursday 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Most weeks this is noise. It matters when the four-week average breaks a trend\, or when it lands the same morning as another 8:30 print.\n\nBot: Log\; include in the regime feature (4-week average).\n\nhttps://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
URL:https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
CATEGORIES:LABOR
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2026-09-10@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260910T170000Z
DTEND:20260910T173000Z
SUMMARY:30-year bond auction (reopening)
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:cpi-2026-09-11@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260911T123000Z
DTEND:20260911T130000Z
SUMMARY:★ CPI
DESCRIPTION:Aug 2026\nConsumer Price Index\, headline and core\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Core CPI vs consensus is the cleanest gold trade on the calendar. A hot core lifts real yields and hits gold\; a soft print does the opposite. The move is usually done within 20 minutes.\n\nBot: Flat 15 min before. Size the entry by (actual − consensus) / trailing surprise stdev. Exit by 9:30 open or on a 0.6% adverse move.\n\nhttps://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
URL:https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
CATEGORIES:INFLATION
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:umich-2026-09-11@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260911T140000Z
DTEND:20260911T143000Z
SUMMARY:UMich consumer sentiment (prelim) (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Preliminary (second Friday) and final (fourth Friday) sentiment plus inflation expectations\, 10:00 AM ET.\n\nGold: The 1-year and 5-year inflation expectations lines move gold more than the headline.\n\nBot: Log\; trade only if 5-year expectations jump 0.3pp+.\n\nhttps://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/
URL:https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/
CATEGORIES:SENTIMENT
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:empire-2026-09-15@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260915T123000Z
DTEND:20260915T130000Z
SUMMARY:Empire State manufacturing (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:NY Fed regional survey\, 8:30 AM ET\, first regional read of the month.\n\nGold: Minor\; prices-paid line is the only gold-relevant bit.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.newyorkfed.org/survey/empire/empiresurvey_overview
URL:https://www.newyorkfed.org/survey/empire/empiresurvey_overview
CATEGORIES:GROWTH
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2026-09-15@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260915T170000Z
DTEND:20260915T173000Z
SUMMARY:20-year bond auction (reopening)
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:retail-2026-09-16@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260916T123000Z
DTEND:20260916T130000Z
SUMMARY:Retail sales (advance)
DESCRIPTION:Aug 2026\nAdvance monthly retail sales and the control group\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Control group feeds the GDP nowcast. A big miss reads as growth scare (gold up)\; a beat reads as no-cut (gold down).\n\nBot: Half size. Same-morning overlap with CPI/PPI is common\; treat the pair as one event.\n\nhttps://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/
URL:https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/
CATEGORIES:CONSUMER
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:imports-2026-09-16@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260916T123000Z
DTEND:20260916T130000Z
SUMMARY:Import & export prices
DESCRIPTION:Aug 2026\nImport and export price indexes\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: A dollar and tariff pass-through read\; small direct effect.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
URL:https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
CATEGORIES:INFLATION
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:ip-2026-09-16@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260916T131500Z
DTEND:20260916T134500Z
SUMMARY:Industrial production (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Fed G.17 industrial production and capacity utilisation\, 9:15 AM ET.\n\nGold: Small direct effect on gold.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g17/
URL:https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g17/
CATEGORIES:GROWTH
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:fomc-2026-09-16@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260916T180000Z
DTEND:20260916T183000Z
SUMMARY:★ FOMC rate decision + projections (SEP)
DESCRIPTION:Two-day meeting ends\nRate decision and statement at 2:00 PM ET. SEP meetings add the dot plot and projections.\n\nGold: This is the biggest scheduled driver of gold. Real yields and the dollar reprice on the statement\, then again on the press conference. A dovish surprise lifts gold\; hawkish dots sink it. A move of one or two percent inside an hour is normal.\n\nBot: Flat 30 min before. Trade the second move (press conference) rather than the first print. Widen stops threefold from 14:00 to 15:30.\n\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
URL:https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
CATEGORIES:FED
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:fomc_pc-2026-09-16@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260916T183000Z
DTEND:20260916T190000Z
SUMMARY:★ Fed Chair press conference
DESCRIPTION:Chair's Q&A 30 minutes after the decision.\n\nGold: Often reverses the 2:00 PM move. Tone on the path of cuts matters more than the decision itself.\n\nBot: Treat 14:30 to 15:30 as one event window together with the decision.\n\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
URL:https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
CATEGORIES:FED
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:starts-2026-09-17@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260917T123000Z
DTEND:20260917T130000Z
SUMMARY:Housing starts & permits
DESCRIPTION:Aug 2026\nNew residential construction\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Rate-sensitive sector read\; small direct effect on gold.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/
URL:https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/
CATEGORIES:HOUSING
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:philly-2026-09-17@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260917T123000Z
DTEND:20260917T130000Z
SUMMARY:Philly Fed manufacturing (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Philadelphia Fed regional survey\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Small direct effect on gold.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.philadelphiafed.org/surveys-and-data/regional-economic-analysis/manufacturing-business-outlook-survey
URL:https://www.philadelphiafed.org/surveys-and-data/regional-economic-analysis/manufacturing-business-outlook-survey
CATEGORIES:GROWTH
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:claims-2026-09-17@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260917T123000Z
DTEND:20260917T130000Z
SUMMARY:Initial jobless claims
DESCRIPTION:Weekly unemployment insurance claims\, Thursday 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Most weeks this is noise. It matters when the four-week average breaks a trend\, or when it lands the same morning as another 8:30 print.\n\nBot: Log\; include in the regime feature (4-week average).\n\nhttps://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
URL:https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
CATEGORIES:LABOR
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2026-09-17@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260917T170000Z
DTEND:20260917T173000Z
SUMMARY:10-year TIPS auction (reopening)
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:opex-2026-09-18@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260918T200000Z
DTEND:20260918T203000Z
SUMMARY:Quad witching
DESCRIPTION:Monthly equity index expiration (quad witching in Mar/Jun/Sep/Dec).\n\nGold: Gold options on COMEX expire separately\, but index expiry days carry odd flows and pinned prices.\n\nBot: Reduce size into the close.\n\nhttps://www.cmegroup.com/
URL:https://www.cmegroup.com/
CATEGORIES:MARKET
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:existing-2026-09-22@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260922T140000Z
DTEND:20260922T143000Z
SUMMARY:Existing home sales (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:NAR existing home sales\, 10:00 AM ET.\n\nGold: Small direct effect on gold.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.nar.realtor/research-and-statistics/housing-statistics/existing-home-sales
URL:https://www.nar.realtor/research-and-statistics/housing-statistics/existing-home-sales
CATEGORIES:HOUSING
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2026-09-22@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260922T170000Z
DTEND:20260922T173000Z
SUMMARY:2-year note auction
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2026-09-23@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260923T170000Z
DTEND:20260923T173000Z
SUMMARY:5-year note auction
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:claims-2026-09-24@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260924T123000Z
DTEND:20260924T130000Z
SUMMARY:Initial jobless claims
DESCRIPTION:Weekly unemployment insurance claims\, Thursday 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Most weeks this is noise. It matters when the four-week average breaks a trend\, or when it lands the same morning as another 8:30 print.\n\nBot: Log\; include in the regime feature (4-week average).\n\nhttps://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
URL:https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
CATEGORIES:LABOR
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:newhome-2026-09-24@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260924T140000Z
DTEND:20260924T143000Z
SUMMARY:New home sales
DESCRIPTION:Aug 2026\nNew residential sales\, 10:00 AM ET.\n\nGold: Small direct effect on gold.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/
URL:https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/
CATEGORIES:HOUSING
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2026-09-24@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260924T170000Z
DTEND:20260924T173000Z
SUMMARY:7-year note auction
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:durables-2026-09-25@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260925T123000Z
DTEND:20260925T130000Z
SUMMARY:Durable goods orders
DESCRIPTION:Aug 2026\nAdvance durable goods\, 8:30 AM ET. Core capital goods is the signal.\n\nGold: It rarely moves gold unless it lands alone on a quiet morning.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/
URL:https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/
CATEGORIES:GROWTH
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:umich-2026-09-25@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260925T140000Z
DTEND:20260925T143000Z
SUMMARY:UMich consumer sentiment (final) (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Preliminary (second Friday) and final (fourth Friday) sentiment plus inflation expectations\, 10:00 AM ET.\n\nGold: The 1-year and 5-year inflation expectations lines move gold more than the headline.\n\nBot: Log\; trade only if 5-year expectations jump 0.3pp+.\n\nhttps://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/
URL:https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/
CATEGORIES:SENTIMENT
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:jolts-2026-09-29@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260929T140000Z
DTEND:20260929T143000Z
SUMMARY:JOLTS job openings
DESCRIPTION:Aug 2026\nJob openings\, hires and quits\, 10:00 AM ET\, one month lagged.\n\nGold: Occasional mover when openings crack. Quits rate is the wage-pressure tell.\n\nBot: Log\; trade only on a 300k+ surprise.\n\nhttps://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
URL:https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
CATEGORIES:LABOR
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:confb-2026-09-29@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260929T140000Z
DTEND:20260929T143000Z
SUMMARY:Conference Board consumer confidence (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Last Tuesday of the month\, 10:00 AM ET.\n\nGold: Labor differential (jobs plentiful minus hard to get) is the useful line.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidence
URL:https://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidence
CATEGORIES:SENTIMENT
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:adp-2026-09-30@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260930T121500Z
DTEND:20260930T124500Z
SUMMARY:ADP private payrolls (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Private payroll estimate\, 8:15 AM ET\, two days before NFP.\n\nGold: It predicts payrolls poorly\, but the market trades it for fifteen minutes anyway.\n\nBot: Log only\; useful as a pre-NFP positioning tell.\n\nhttps://adpemploymentreport.com/
URL:https://adpemploymentreport.com/
CATEGORIES:LABOR
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:pce-2026-09-30@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260930T123000Z
DTEND:20260930T130000Z
SUMMARY:★ PCE price index (Personal Income & Outlays)
DESCRIPTION:Aug 2026\nPersonal Income and Outlays with the Fed's preferred inflation gauge\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Core PCE is what the Fed targets. Mostly priced after CPI and PPI\, so the surprise is small\, but a miss versus the nowcast still moves gold 0.5%+.\n\nBot: Trade the deviation from the CPI/PPI-implied nowcast\, not from consensus.\n\nhttps://www.bea.gov/news/schedule
URL:https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule
CATEGORIES:INFLATION
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:gdp-2026-09-30@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20260930T123000Z
DTEND:20260930T130000Z
SUMMARY:GDP third estimate
DESCRIPTION:Q2 2026\nQuarterly GDP. The advance estimate moves markets\; second and third are revisions.\n\nGold: Advance GDP matters when it collides with the growth-scare narrative. The GDP price index inside it is a sleeper inflation input.\n\nBot: Advance: normal size. Revisions: log only.\n\nhttps://www.bea.gov/news/schedule
URL:https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule
CATEGORIES:GROWTH
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:fiscal-2026-09-30@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261001T035900Z
DTEND:20261001T042900Z
SUMMARY:Federal funding deadline (FY2026 ends)
DESCRIPTION:Fiscal year ends 30 September. Without a funding bill or continuing resolution\, agencies shut down and BLS/BEA/Census releases stop.\n\nGold: Shutdown risk is a mild gold bid (uncertainty\, dollar softness) and\, more importantly\, deletes data from this calendar until it ends.\n\nBot: Check every morning after this date whether scheduled releases are still on\; the worker's /api/next assumes they are.\n\nhttps://www.congress.gov/
URL:https://www.congress.gov/
CATEGORIES:MARKET
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:claims-2026-10-01@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261001T123000Z
DTEND:20261001T130000Z
SUMMARY:Initial jobless claims
DESCRIPTION:Weekly unemployment insurance claims\, Thursday 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Most weeks this is noise. It matters when the four-week average breaks a trend\, or when it lands the same morning as another 8:30 print.\n\nBot: Log\; include in the regime feature (4-week average).\n\nhttps://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
URL:https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
CATEGORIES:LABOR
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:ism_m-2026-10-01@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261001T140000Z
DTEND:20261001T143000Z
SUMMARY:ISM Manufacturing PMI (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:First business day of the month\, 10:00 AM ET. Prices-paid sub-index is the inflation read.\n\nGold: Prices paid above 60 is a hawkish tell. Headline below 48 revives the growth-scare bid for gold.\n\nBot: Half size on the 10:00 print\; watch prices paid.\n\nhttps://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/
URL:https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/
CATEGORIES:GROWTH
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:nfp-2026-10-02@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261002T123000Z
DTEND:20261002T130000Z
SUMMARY:★ Jobs report (nonfarm payrolls)
DESCRIPTION:Sep 2026\nEmployment Situation: payrolls\, unemployment rate\, average hourly earnings\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Weak payrolls plus a rising unemployment rate is the classic gold rally. Watch revisions to the prior two months and average hourly earnings for the inflation angle.\n\nBot: Flat 15 min before. Three-factor score: payrolls surprise\, unemployment change\, AHE surprise. Fade if factors disagree.\n\nhttps://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
URL:https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
CATEGORIES:LABOR
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:ism_s-2026-10-05@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261005T140000Z
DTEND:20261005T143000Z
SUMMARY:ISM Services PMI (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Third business day of the month\, 10:00 AM ET.\n\nGold: Services is 70% of the economy. Employment and prices sub-indices drive the reaction.\n\nBot: Half size.\n\nhttps://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/
URL:https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/
CATEGORIES:GROWTH
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:trade-2026-10-06@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261006T123000Z
DTEND:20261006T130000Z
SUMMARY:Trade balance
DESCRIPTION:Aug 2026\nInternational trade in goods and services\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Feeds the GDP nowcast\; tariff-headline months make it a dollar story.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.bea.gov/news/schedule
URL:https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule
CATEGORIES:GROWTH
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2026-10-06@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261006T170000Z
DTEND:20261006T173000Z
SUMMARY:3-year note auction
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2026-10-07@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261007T170000Z
DTEND:20261007T173000Z
SUMMARY:10-year note auction (reopening)
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:minutes-2026-10-07@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261007T180000Z
DTEND:20261007T183000Z
SUMMARY:FOMC minutes
DESCRIPTION:Sep 15 to 16 meeting\nDetailed record of the prior meeting\, three weeks later at 2:00 PM ET.\n\nGold: Moves gold when the minutes reveal more dissent or a stronger lean than the statement did. The move is usually between 0.3 and 0.7 percent.\n\nBot: Reduce size\, do not flatten. Fade extreme first-minute moves.\n\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomcminutes.htm
URL:https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomcminutes.htm
CATEGORIES:FED
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:claims-2026-10-08@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261008T123000Z
DTEND:20261008T130000Z
SUMMARY:Initial jobless claims
DESCRIPTION:Weekly unemployment insurance claims\, Thursday 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Most weeks this is noise. It matters when the four-week average breaks a trend\, or when it lands the same morning as another 8:30 print.\n\nBot: Log\; include in the regime feature (4-week average).\n\nhttps://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
URL:https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
CATEGORIES:LABOR
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2026-10-08@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261008T170000Z
DTEND:20261008T173000Z
SUMMARY:30-year bond auction (reopening)
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:umich-2026-10-09@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261009T140000Z
DTEND:20261009T143000Z
SUMMARY:UMich consumer sentiment (prelim) (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Preliminary (second Friday) and final (fourth Friday) sentiment plus inflation expectations\, 10:00 AM ET.\n\nGold: The 1-year and 5-year inflation expectations lines move gold more than the headline.\n\nBot: Log\; trade only if 5-year expectations jump 0.3pp+.\n\nhttps://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/
URL:https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/
CATEGORIES:SENTIMENT
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:cpi-2026-10-14@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261014T123000Z
DTEND:20261014T130000Z
SUMMARY:★ CPI
DESCRIPTION:Sep 2026\nConsumer Price Index\, headline and core\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Core CPI vs consensus is the cleanest gold trade on the calendar. A hot core lifts real yields and hits gold\; a soft print does the opposite. The move is usually done within 20 minutes.\n\nBot: Flat 15 min before. Size the entry by (actual − consensus) / trailing surprise stdev. Exit by 9:30 open or on a 0.6% adverse move.\n\nhttps://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
URL:https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
CATEGORIES:INFLATION
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:beige-2026-10-14@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261014T180000Z
DTEND:20261014T183000Z
SUMMARY:Beige Book (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Ahead of the Oct 27 to 28 FOMC\nAnecdotal regional survey published two weeks before each FOMC.\n\nGold: It rarely moves gold on its own. It reinforces or undercuts the growth story.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/beige-book-default.htm
URL:https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/beige-book-default.htm
CATEGORIES:FED
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:ppi-2026-10-15@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261015T123000Z
DTEND:20261015T130000Z
SUMMARY:PPI final demand
DESCRIPTION:Sep 2026\nProducer Price Index\, final demand\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Second-tier inflation print. Matters most when it lands the day before CPI or when PCE-relevant components (healthcare\, airfares\, portfolio management) surprise.\n\nBot: Half size versus CPI. Read through to the PCE nowcast.\n\nhttps://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
URL:https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
CATEGORIES:INFLATION
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:retail-2026-10-15@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261015T123000Z
DTEND:20261015T130000Z
SUMMARY:Retail sales (advance)
DESCRIPTION:Sep 2026\nAdvance monthly retail sales and the control group\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Control group feeds the GDP nowcast. A big miss reads as growth scare (gold up)\; a beat reads as no-cut (gold down).\n\nBot: Half size. Same-morning overlap with CPI/PPI is common\; treat the pair as one event.\n\nhttps://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/
URL:https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/
CATEGORIES:CONSUMER
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:empire-2026-10-15@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261015T123000Z
DTEND:20261015T130000Z
SUMMARY:Empire State manufacturing (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:NY Fed regional survey\, 8:30 AM ET\, first regional read of the month.\n\nGold: Minor\; prices-paid line is the only gold-relevant bit.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.newyorkfed.org/survey/empire/empiresurvey_overview
URL:https://www.newyorkfed.org/survey/empire/empiresurvey_overview
CATEGORIES:GROWTH
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:philly-2026-10-15@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261015T123000Z
DTEND:20261015T130000Z
SUMMARY:Philly Fed manufacturing (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Philadelphia Fed regional survey\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Small direct effect on gold.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.philadelphiafed.org/surveys-and-data/regional-economic-analysis/manufacturing-business-outlook-survey
URL:https://www.philadelphiafed.org/surveys-and-data/regional-economic-analysis/manufacturing-business-outlook-survey
CATEGORIES:GROWTH
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:claims-2026-10-15@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261015T123000Z
DTEND:20261015T130000Z
SUMMARY:Initial jobless claims
DESCRIPTION:Weekly unemployment insurance claims\, Thursday 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Most weeks this is noise. It matters when the four-week average breaks a trend\, or when it lands the same morning as another 8:30 print.\n\nBot: Log\; include in the regime feature (4-week average).\n\nhttps://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
URL:https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
CATEGORIES:LABOR
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:imports-2026-10-16@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261016T123000Z
DTEND:20261016T130000Z
SUMMARY:Import & export prices
DESCRIPTION:Sep 2026\nImport and export price indexes\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: A dollar and tariff pass-through read\; small direct effect.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
URL:https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
CATEGORIES:INFLATION
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:ip-2026-10-16@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261016T131500Z
DTEND:20261016T134500Z
SUMMARY:Industrial production (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Fed G.17 industrial production and capacity utilisation\, 9:15 AM ET.\n\nGold: Small direct effect on gold.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g17/
URL:https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g17/
CATEGORIES:GROWTH
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:opex-2026-10-16@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261016T200000Z
DTEND:20261016T203000Z
SUMMARY:Monthly options expiration
DESCRIPTION:Monthly equity index expiration (quad witching in Mar/Jun/Sep/Dec).\n\nGold: Gold options on COMEX expire separately\, but index expiry days carry odd flows and pinned prices.\n\nBot: Reduce size into the close.\n\nhttps://www.cmegroup.com/
URL:https://www.cmegroup.com/
CATEGORIES:MARKET
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:starts-2026-10-20@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261020T123000Z
DTEND:20261020T130000Z
SUMMARY:Housing starts & permits
DESCRIPTION:Sep 2026\nNew residential construction\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Rate-sensitive sector read\; small direct effect on gold.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/
URL:https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/
CATEGORIES:HOUSING
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2026-10-21@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261021T170000Z
DTEND:20261021T173000Z
SUMMARY:20-year bond auction (reopening)
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:claims-2026-10-22@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261022T123000Z
DTEND:20261022T130000Z
SUMMARY:Initial jobless claims
DESCRIPTION:Weekly unemployment insurance claims\, Thursday 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Most weeks this is noise. It matters when the four-week average breaks a trend\, or when it lands the same morning as another 8:30 print.\n\nBot: Log\; include in the regime feature (4-week average).\n\nhttps://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
URL:https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
CATEGORIES:LABOR
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:existing-2026-10-22@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261022T140000Z
DTEND:20261022T143000Z
SUMMARY:Existing home sales (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:NAR existing home sales\, 10:00 AM ET.\n\nGold: Small direct effect on gold.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.nar.realtor/research-and-statistics/housing-statistics/existing-home-sales
URL:https://www.nar.realtor/research-and-statistics/housing-statistics/existing-home-sales
CATEGORIES:HOUSING
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2026-10-22@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261022T170000Z
DTEND:20261022T173000Z
SUMMARY:5-year TIPS auction
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2026-10-26@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261026T170000Z
DTEND:20261026T173000Z
SUMMARY:2-year note auction
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:durables-2026-10-27@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261027T123000Z
DTEND:20261027T130000Z
SUMMARY:Durable goods orders
DESCRIPTION:Sep 2026\nAdvance durable goods\, 8:30 AM ET. Core capital goods is the signal.\n\nGold: It rarely moves gold unless it lands alone on a quiet morning.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/
URL:https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/
CATEGORIES:GROWTH
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:newhome-2026-10-27@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261027T140000Z
DTEND:20261027T143000Z
SUMMARY:New home sales
DESCRIPTION:Sep 2026\nNew residential sales\, 10:00 AM ET.\n\nGold: Small direct effect on gold.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/
URL:https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/
CATEGORIES:HOUSING
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:confb-2026-10-27@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261027T140000Z
DTEND:20261027T143000Z
SUMMARY:Conference Board consumer confidence (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Last Tuesday of the month\, 10:00 AM ET.\n\nGold: Labor differential (jobs plentiful minus hard to get) is the useful line.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidence
URL:https://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidence
CATEGORIES:SENTIMENT
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2026-10-27@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261027T170000Z
DTEND:20261027T173000Z
SUMMARY:5-year note auction
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:fomc-2026-10-28@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261028T180000Z
DTEND:20261028T183000Z
SUMMARY:★ FOMC rate decision
DESCRIPTION:Two-day meeting ends\nRate decision and statement at 2:00 PM ET. SEP meetings add the dot plot and projections.\n\nGold: This is the biggest scheduled driver of gold. Real yields and the dollar reprice on the statement\, then again on the press conference. A dovish surprise lifts gold\; hawkish dots sink it. A move of one or two percent inside an hour is normal.\n\nBot: Flat 30 min before. Trade the second move (press conference) rather than the first print. Widen stops threefold from 14:00 to 15:30.\n\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
URL:https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
CATEGORIES:FED
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:fomc_pc-2026-10-28@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261028T183000Z
DTEND:20261028T190000Z
SUMMARY:★ Fed Chair press conference
DESCRIPTION:Chair's Q&A 30 minutes after the decision.\n\nGold: Often reverses the 2:00 PM move. Tone on the path of cuts matters more than the decision itself.\n\nBot: Treat 14:30 to 15:30 as one event window together with the decision.\n\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
URL:https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
CATEGORIES:FED
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:gdp-2026-10-29@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261029T123000Z
DTEND:20261029T130000Z
SUMMARY:★ GDP advance estimate
DESCRIPTION:Q3 2026\nQuarterly GDP. The advance estimate moves markets\; second and third are revisions.\n\nGold: Advance GDP matters when it collides with the growth-scare narrative. The GDP price index inside it is a sleeper inflation input.\n\nBot: Advance: normal size. Revisions: log only.\n\nhttps://www.bea.gov/news/schedule
URL:https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule
CATEGORIES:GROWTH
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:pce-2026-10-29@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261029T123000Z
DTEND:20261029T130000Z
SUMMARY:★ PCE price index (Personal Income & Outlays)
DESCRIPTION:Sep 2026\nPersonal Income and Outlays with the Fed's preferred inflation gauge\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Core PCE is what the Fed targets. Mostly priced after CPI and PPI\, so the surprise is small\, but a miss versus the nowcast still moves gold 0.5%+.\n\nBot: Trade the deviation from the CPI/PPI-implied nowcast\, not from consensus.\n\nhttps://www.bea.gov/news/schedule
URL:https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule
CATEGORIES:INFLATION
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:claims-2026-10-29@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261029T123000Z
DTEND:20261029T130000Z
SUMMARY:Initial jobless claims
DESCRIPTION:Weekly unemployment insurance claims\, Thursday 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Most weeks this is noise. It matters when the four-week average breaks a trend\, or when it lands the same morning as another 8:30 print.\n\nBot: Log\; include in the regime feature (4-week average).\n\nhttps://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
URL:https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
CATEGORIES:LABOR
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2026-10-29@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261029T170000Z
DTEND:20261029T173000Z
SUMMARY:7-year note auction
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:eci-2026-10-30@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261030T123000Z
DTEND:20261030T130000Z
SUMMARY:Employment Cost Index
DESCRIPTION:Q3 2026\nQuarterly wages and benefits\, the Fed's favoured wage gauge\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Hot ECI keeps cuts off the table. Because it is quarterly\, it surprises more than the monthly wage data.\n\nBot: Half size. Only four a year.\n\nhttps://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
URL:https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
CATEGORIES:LABOR
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:umich-2026-10-30@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261030T140000Z
DTEND:20261030T143000Z
SUMMARY:UMich consumer sentiment (final) (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Preliminary (second Friday) and final (fourth Friday) sentiment plus inflation expectations\, 10:00 AM ET.\n\nGold: The 1-year and 5-year inflation expectations lines move gold more than the headline.\n\nBot: Log\; trade only if 5-year expectations jump 0.3pp+.\n\nhttps://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/
URL:https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/
CATEGORIES:SENTIMENT
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:ism_m-2026-11-02@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261102T150000Z
DTEND:20261102T153000Z
SUMMARY:ISM Manufacturing PMI (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:First business day of the month\, 10:00 AM ET. Prices-paid sub-index is the inflation read.\n\nGold: Prices paid above 60 is a hawkish tell. Headline below 48 revives the growth-scare bid for gold.\n\nBot: Half size on the 10:00 print\; watch prices paid.\n\nhttps://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/
URL:https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/
CATEGORIES:GROWTH
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:jolts-2026-11-03@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261103T150000Z
DTEND:20261103T153000Z
SUMMARY:JOLTS job openings (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Sep 2026\nJob openings\, hires and quits\, 10:00 AM ET\, one month lagged.\n\nGold: Occasional mover when openings crack. Quits rate is the wage-pressure tell.\n\nBot: Log\; trade only on a 300k+ surprise.\n\nhttps://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
URL:https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
CATEGORIES:LABOR
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:election-2026-11-03@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261104T000000Z
DTEND:20261104T003000Z
SUMMARY:★ US midterm elections
DESCRIPTION:House and Senate elections. Results overnight into the following morning.\n\nGold: Fiscal-path repricing. A split Congress is historically the calmest outcome\; a sweep re-prices deficits and the dollar.\n\nBot: Flat overnight. Resume after the 8:30 AM open the next day.\n\nhttps://www.usa.gov/midterm-elections
URL:https://www.usa.gov/midterm-elections
CATEGORIES:MARKET
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:adp-2026-11-04@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261104T131500Z
DTEND:20261104T134500Z
SUMMARY:ADP private payrolls (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Private payroll estimate\, 8:15 AM ET\, two days before NFP.\n\nGold: It predicts payrolls poorly\, but the market trades it for fifteen minutes anyway.\n\nBot: Log only\; useful as a pre-NFP positioning tell.\n\nhttps://adpemploymentreport.com/
URL:https://adpemploymentreport.com/
CATEGORIES:LABOR
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:refunding-2026-11-04@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261104T133000Z
DTEND:20261104T140000Z
SUMMARY:Quarterly refunding announcement
DESCRIPTION:Nov 2026 to Jan 2027 issuance\nTreasury's coupon issuance sizes for the coming quarter\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Larger long-end issuance steepens the curve and weighs on gold via term premium\; a hold is a relief.\n\nBot: Half size\, long-end yield reaction.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/policy-issues/financing-the-government/quarterly-refunding
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/policy-issues/financing-the-government/quarterly-refunding
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:trade-2026-11-04@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261104T133000Z
DTEND:20261104T140000Z
SUMMARY:Trade balance
DESCRIPTION:Sep 2026\nInternational trade in goods and services\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Feeds the GDP nowcast\; tariff-headline months make it a dollar story.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.bea.gov/news/schedule
URL:https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule
CATEGORIES:GROWTH
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:ism_s-2026-11-04@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261104T150000Z
DTEND:20261104T153000Z
SUMMARY:ISM Services PMI (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Third business day of the month\, 10:00 AM ET.\n\nGold: Services is 70% of the economy. Employment and prices sub-indices drive the reaction.\n\nBot: Half size.\n\nhttps://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/
URL:https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/
CATEGORIES:GROWTH
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:claims-2026-11-05@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261105T133000Z
DTEND:20261105T140000Z
SUMMARY:Initial jobless claims
DESCRIPTION:Weekly unemployment insurance claims\, Thursday 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Most weeks this is noise. It matters when the four-week average breaks a trend\, or when it lands the same morning as another 8:30 print.\n\nBot: Log\; include in the regime feature (4-week average).\n\nhttps://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
URL:https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
CATEGORIES:LABOR
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:nfp-2026-11-06@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261106T133000Z
DTEND:20261106T140000Z
SUMMARY:★ Jobs report (nonfarm payrolls)
DESCRIPTION:Oct 2026\nEmployment Situation: payrolls\, unemployment rate\, average hourly earnings\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Weak payrolls plus a rising unemployment rate is the classic gold rally. Watch revisions to the prior two months and average hourly earnings for the inflation angle.\n\nBot: Flat 15 min before. Three-factor score: payrolls surprise\, unemployment change\, AHE surprise. Fade if factors disagree.\n\nhttps://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
URL:https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
CATEGORIES:LABOR
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2026-11-09@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261109T180000Z
DTEND:20261109T183000Z
SUMMARY:3-year note auction
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:cpi-2026-11-10@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261110T133000Z
DTEND:20261110T140000Z
SUMMARY:★ CPI
DESCRIPTION:Oct 2026\nConsumer Price Index\, headline and core\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Core CPI vs consensus is the cleanest gold trade on the calendar. A hot core lifts real yields and hits gold\; a soft print does the opposite. The move is usually done within 20 minutes.\n\nBot: Flat 15 min before. Size the entry by (actual − consensus) / trailing surprise stdev. Exit by 9:30 open or on a 0.6% adverse move.\n\nhttps://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
URL:https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
CATEGORIES:INFLATION
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2026-11-10@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261110T180000Z
DTEND:20261110T183000Z
SUMMARY:10-year note auction
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:claims-2026-11-12@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261112T133000Z
DTEND:20261112T140000Z
SUMMARY:Initial jobless claims
DESCRIPTION:Weekly unemployment insurance claims\, Thursday 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Most weeks this is noise. It matters when the four-week average breaks a trend\, or when it lands the same morning as another 8:30 print.\n\nBot: Log\; include in the regime feature (4-week average).\n\nhttps://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
URL:https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
CATEGORIES:LABOR
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2026-11-12@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261112T180000Z
DTEND:20261112T183000Z
SUMMARY:30-year bond auction
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:ppi-2026-11-13@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261113T133000Z
DTEND:20261113T140000Z
SUMMARY:PPI final demand
DESCRIPTION:Oct 2026\nProducer Price Index\, final demand\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Second-tier inflation print. Matters most when it lands the day before CPI or when PCE-relevant components (healthcare\, airfares\, portfolio management) surprise.\n\nBot: Half size versus CPI. Read through to the PCE nowcast.\n\nhttps://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
URL:https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
CATEGORIES:INFLATION
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:umich-2026-11-13@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261113T150000Z
DTEND:20261113T153000Z
SUMMARY:UMich consumer sentiment (prelim) (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Preliminary (second Friday) and final (fourth Friday) sentiment plus inflation expectations\, 10:00 AM ET.\n\nGold: The 1-year and 5-year inflation expectations lines move gold more than the headline.\n\nBot: Log\; trade only if 5-year expectations jump 0.3pp+.\n\nhttps://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/
URL:https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/
CATEGORIES:SENTIMENT
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:empire-2026-11-16@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261116T133000Z
DTEND:20261116T140000Z
SUMMARY:Empire State manufacturing (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:NY Fed regional survey\, 8:30 AM ET\, first regional read of the month.\n\nGold: Minor\; prices-paid line is the only gold-relevant bit.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.newyorkfed.org/survey/empire/empiresurvey_overview
URL:https://www.newyorkfed.org/survey/empire/empiresurvey_overview
CATEGORIES:GROWTH
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:retail-2026-11-17@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261117T133000Z
DTEND:20261117T140000Z
SUMMARY:Retail sales (advance)
DESCRIPTION:Oct 2026\nAdvance monthly retail sales and the control group\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Control group feeds the GDP nowcast. A big miss reads as growth scare (gold up)\; a beat reads as no-cut (gold down).\n\nBot: Half size. Same-morning overlap with CPI/PPI is common\; treat the pair as one event.\n\nhttps://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/
URL:https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/
CATEGORIES:CONSUMER
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:imports-2026-11-17@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261117T133000Z
DTEND:20261117T140000Z
SUMMARY:Import & export prices
DESCRIPTION:Oct 2026\nImport and export price indexes\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: A dollar and tariff pass-through read\; small direct effect.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
URL:https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
CATEGORIES:INFLATION
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:ip-2026-11-17@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261117T141500Z
DTEND:20261117T144500Z
SUMMARY:Industrial production (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Fed G.17 industrial production and capacity utilisation\, 9:15 AM ET.\n\nGold: Small direct effect on gold.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g17/
URL:https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g17/
CATEGORIES:GROWTH
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:starts-2026-11-18@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261118T133000Z
DTEND:20261118T140000Z
SUMMARY:Housing starts & permits
DESCRIPTION:Oct 2026\nNew residential construction\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Rate-sensitive sector read\; small direct effect on gold.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/
URL:https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/
CATEGORIES:HOUSING
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2026-11-18@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261118T180000Z
DTEND:20261118T183000Z
SUMMARY:20-year bond auction
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:minutes-2026-11-18@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261118T190000Z
DTEND:20261118T193000Z
SUMMARY:FOMC minutes
DESCRIPTION:Oct 27 to 28 meeting\nDetailed record of the prior meeting\, three weeks later at 2:00 PM ET.\n\nGold: Moves gold when the minutes reveal more dissent or a stronger lean than the statement did. The move is usually between 0.3 and 0.7 percent.\n\nBot: Reduce size\, do not flatten. Fade extreme first-minute moves.\n\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomcminutes.htm
URL:https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomcminutes.htm
CATEGORIES:FED
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:philly-2026-11-19@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261119T133000Z
DTEND:20261119T140000Z
SUMMARY:Philly Fed manufacturing (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Philadelphia Fed regional survey\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Small direct effect on gold.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.philadelphiafed.org/surveys-and-data/regional-economic-analysis/manufacturing-business-outlook-survey
URL:https://www.philadelphiafed.org/surveys-and-data/regional-economic-analysis/manufacturing-business-outlook-survey
CATEGORIES:GROWTH
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:claims-2026-11-19@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261119T133000Z
DTEND:20261119T140000Z
SUMMARY:Initial jobless claims
DESCRIPTION:Weekly unemployment insurance claims\, Thursday 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Most weeks this is noise. It matters when the four-week average breaks a trend\, or when it lands the same morning as another 8:30 print.\n\nBot: Log\; include in the regime feature (4-week average).\n\nhttps://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
URL:https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
CATEGORIES:LABOR
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:existing-2026-11-19@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261119T150000Z
DTEND:20261119T153000Z
SUMMARY:Existing home sales (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:NAR existing home sales\, 10:00 AM ET.\n\nGold: Small direct effect on gold.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.nar.realtor/research-and-statistics/housing-statistics/existing-home-sales
URL:https://www.nar.realtor/research-and-statistics/housing-statistics/existing-home-sales
CATEGORIES:HOUSING
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2026-11-19@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261119T180000Z
DTEND:20261119T183000Z
SUMMARY:10-year TIPS auction (reopening)
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:opex-2026-11-20@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261120T210000Z
DTEND:20261120T213000Z
SUMMARY:Monthly options expiration
DESCRIPTION:Monthly equity index expiration (quad witching in Mar/Jun/Sep/Dec).\n\nGold: Gold options on COMEX expire separately\, but index expiry days carry odd flows and pinned prices.\n\nBot: Reduce size into the close.\n\nhttps://www.cmegroup.com/
URL:https://www.cmegroup.com/
CATEGORIES:MARKET
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2026-11-23@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261123T180000Z
DTEND:20261123T183000Z
SUMMARY:2-year note auction
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:umich-2026-11-24@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261124T150000Z
DTEND:20261124T153000Z
SUMMARY:UMich consumer sentiment (final) (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Preliminary (second Friday) and final (fourth Friday) sentiment plus inflation expectations\, 10:00 AM ET.\n\nGold: The 1-year and 5-year inflation expectations lines move gold more than the headline.\n\nBot: Log\; trade only if 5-year expectations jump 0.3pp+.\n\nhttps://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/
URL:https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/
CATEGORIES:SENTIMENT
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:confb-2026-11-24@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261124T150000Z
DTEND:20261124T153000Z
SUMMARY:Conference Board consumer confidence (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Last Tuesday of the month\, 10:00 AM ET.\n\nGold: Labor differential (jobs plentiful minus hard to get) is the useful line.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidence
URL:https://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidence
CATEGORIES:SENTIMENT
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2026-11-24@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261124T180000Z
DTEND:20261124T183000Z
SUMMARY:5-year note auction
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:pce-2026-11-25@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261125T133000Z
DTEND:20261125T140000Z
SUMMARY:★ PCE price index (Personal Income & Outlays)
DESCRIPTION:Oct 2026\nPersonal Income and Outlays with the Fed's preferred inflation gauge\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Core PCE is what the Fed targets. Mostly priced after CPI and PPI\, so the surprise is small\, but a miss versus the nowcast still moves gold 0.5%+.\n\nBot: Trade the deviation from the CPI/PPI-implied nowcast\, not from consensus.\n\nhttps://www.bea.gov/news/schedule
URL:https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule
CATEGORIES:INFLATION
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:gdp-2026-11-25@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261125T133000Z
DTEND:20261125T140000Z
SUMMARY:GDP second estimate
DESCRIPTION:Q3 2026\nQuarterly GDP. The advance estimate moves markets\; second and third are revisions.\n\nGold: Advance GDP matters when it collides with the growth-scare narrative. The GDP price index inside it is a sleeper inflation input.\n\nBot: Advance: normal size. Revisions: log only.\n\nhttps://www.bea.gov/news/schedule
URL:https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule
CATEGORIES:GROWTH
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:durables-2026-11-25@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261125T133000Z
DTEND:20261125T140000Z
SUMMARY:Durable goods orders
DESCRIPTION:Oct 2026\nAdvance durable goods\, 8:30 AM ET. Core capital goods is the signal.\n\nGold: It rarely moves gold unless it lands alone on a quiet morning.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/
URL:https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/
CATEGORIES:GROWTH
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:claims-2026-11-25@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261125T133000Z
DTEND:20261125T140000Z
SUMMARY:Initial jobless claims
DESCRIPTION:Weekly unemployment insurance claims\, Thursday 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Most weeks this is noise. It matters when the four-week average breaks a trend\, or when it lands the same morning as another 8:30 print.\n\nBot: Log\; include in the regime feature (4-week average).\n\nhttps://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
URL:https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
CATEGORIES:LABOR
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:newhome-2026-11-25@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261125T150000Z
DTEND:20261125T153000Z
SUMMARY:New home sales
DESCRIPTION:Oct 2026\nNew residential sales\, 10:00 AM ET.\n\nGold: Small direct effect on gold.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/
URL:https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/
CATEGORIES:HOUSING
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2026-11-25@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261125T180000Z
DTEND:20261125T183000Z
SUMMARY:7-year note auction
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:beige-2026-11-25@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261125T190000Z
DTEND:20261125T193000Z
SUMMARY:Beige Book (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Ahead of the Dec 8 to 9 FOMC\nAnecdotal regional survey published two weeks before each FOMC.\n\nGold: It rarely moves gold on its own. It reinforces or undercuts the growth story.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/beige-book-default.htm
URL:https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/beige-book-default.htm
CATEGORIES:FED
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:ism_m-2026-12-01@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261201T150000Z
DTEND:20261201T153000Z
SUMMARY:ISM Manufacturing PMI (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:First business day of the month\, 10:00 AM ET. Prices-paid sub-index is the inflation read.\n\nGold: Prices paid above 60 is a hawkish tell. Headline below 48 revives the growth-scare bid for gold.\n\nBot: Half size on the 10:00 print\; watch prices paid.\n\nhttps://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/
URL:https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/
CATEGORIES:GROWTH
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:jolts-2026-12-01@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261201T150000Z
DTEND:20261201T153000Z
SUMMARY:JOLTS job openings (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Oct 2026\nJob openings\, hires and quits\, 10:00 AM ET\, one month lagged.\n\nGold: Occasional mover when openings crack. Quits rate is the wage-pressure tell.\n\nBot: Log\; trade only on a 300k+ surprise.\n\nhttps://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
URL:https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
CATEGORIES:LABOR
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:adp-2026-12-02@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261202T131500Z
DTEND:20261202T134500Z
SUMMARY:ADP private payrolls (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Private payroll estimate\, 8:15 AM ET\, two days before NFP.\n\nGold: It predicts payrolls poorly\, but the market trades it for fifteen minutes anyway.\n\nBot: Log only\; useful as a pre-NFP positioning tell.\n\nhttps://adpemploymentreport.com/
URL:https://adpemploymentreport.com/
CATEGORIES:LABOR
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:claims-2026-12-03@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261203T133000Z
DTEND:20261203T140000Z
SUMMARY:Initial jobless claims
DESCRIPTION:Weekly unemployment insurance claims\, Thursday 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Most weeks this is noise. It matters when the four-week average breaks a trend\, or when it lands the same morning as another 8:30 print.\n\nBot: Log\; include in the regime feature (4-week average).\n\nhttps://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
URL:https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
CATEGORIES:LABOR
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:ism_s-2026-12-03@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261203T150000Z
DTEND:20261203T153000Z
SUMMARY:ISM Services PMI (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Third business day of the month\, 10:00 AM ET.\n\nGold: Services is 70% of the economy. Employment and prices sub-indices drive the reaction.\n\nBot: Half size.\n\nhttps://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/
URL:https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/
CATEGORIES:GROWTH
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:nfp-2026-12-04@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261204T133000Z
DTEND:20261204T140000Z
SUMMARY:★ Jobs report (nonfarm payrolls)
DESCRIPTION:Nov 2026\nEmployment Situation: payrolls\, unemployment rate\, average hourly earnings\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Weak payrolls plus a rising unemployment rate is the classic gold rally. Watch revisions to the prior two months and average hourly earnings for the inflation angle.\n\nBot: Flat 15 min before. Three-factor score: payrolls surprise\, unemployment change\, AHE surprise. Fade if factors disagree.\n\nhttps://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
URL:https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
CATEGORIES:LABOR
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2026-12-07@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261207T180000Z
DTEND:20261207T183000Z
SUMMARY:3-year note auction
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:trade-2026-12-08@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261208T133000Z
DTEND:20261208T140000Z
SUMMARY:Trade balance
DESCRIPTION:Oct 2026\nInternational trade in goods and services\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Feeds the GDP nowcast\; tariff-headline months make it a dollar story.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.bea.gov/news/schedule
URL:https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule
CATEGORIES:GROWTH
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2026-12-08@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261208T180000Z
DTEND:20261208T183000Z
SUMMARY:10-year note auction (reopening)
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:fomc-2026-12-09@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261209T190000Z
DTEND:20261209T193000Z
SUMMARY:★ FOMC rate decision + projections (SEP)
DESCRIPTION:Two-day meeting ends\nRate decision and statement at 2:00 PM ET. SEP meetings add the dot plot and projections.\n\nGold: This is the biggest scheduled driver of gold. Real yields and the dollar reprice on the statement\, then again on the press conference. A dovish surprise lifts gold\; hawkish dots sink it. A move of one or two percent inside an hour is normal.\n\nBot: Flat 30 min before. Trade the second move (press conference) rather than the first print. Widen stops threefold from 14:00 to 15:30.\n\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
URL:https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
CATEGORIES:FED
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:fomc_pc-2026-12-09@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261209T193000Z
DTEND:20261209T200000Z
SUMMARY:★ Fed Chair press conference
DESCRIPTION:Chair's Q&A 30 minutes after the decision.\n\nGold: Often reverses the 2:00 PM move. Tone on the path of cuts matters more than the decision itself.\n\nBot: Treat 14:30 to 15:30 as one event window together with the decision.\n\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
URL:https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
CATEGORIES:FED
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:cpi-2026-12-10@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261210T133000Z
DTEND:20261210T140000Z
SUMMARY:★ CPI
DESCRIPTION:Nov 2026\nConsumer Price Index\, headline and core\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Core CPI vs consensus is the cleanest gold trade on the calendar. A hot core lifts real yields and hits gold\; a soft print does the opposite. The move is usually done within 20 minutes.\n\nBot: Flat 15 min before. Size the entry by (actual − consensus) / trailing surprise stdev. Exit by 9:30 open or on a 0.6% adverse move.\n\nhttps://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
URL:https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
CATEGORIES:INFLATION
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:claims-2026-12-10@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261210T133000Z
DTEND:20261210T140000Z
SUMMARY:Initial jobless claims
DESCRIPTION:Weekly unemployment insurance claims\, Thursday 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Most weeks this is noise. It matters when the four-week average breaks a trend\, or when it lands the same morning as another 8:30 print.\n\nBot: Log\; include in the regime feature (4-week average).\n\nhttps://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
URL:https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
CATEGORIES:LABOR
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2026-12-10@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261210T180000Z
DTEND:20261210T183000Z
SUMMARY:30-year bond auction (reopening)
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:umich-2026-12-11@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261211T150000Z
DTEND:20261211T153000Z
SUMMARY:UMich consumer sentiment (prelim) (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Preliminary (second Friday) and final (fourth Friday) sentiment plus inflation expectations\, 10:00 AM ET.\n\nGold: The 1-year and 5-year inflation expectations lines move gold more than the headline.\n\nBot: Log\; trade only if 5-year expectations jump 0.3pp+.\n\nhttps://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/
URL:https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/
CATEGORIES:SENTIMENT
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:ppi-2026-12-15@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261215T133000Z
DTEND:20261215T140000Z
SUMMARY:PPI final demand
DESCRIPTION:Nov 2026\nProducer Price Index\, final demand\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Second-tier inflation print. Matters most when it lands the day before CPI or when PCE-relevant components (healthcare\, airfares\, portfolio management) surprise.\n\nBot: Half size versus CPI. Read through to the PCE nowcast.\n\nhttps://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
URL:https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
CATEGORIES:INFLATION
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:empire-2026-12-15@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261215T133000Z
DTEND:20261215T140000Z
SUMMARY:Empire State manufacturing (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:NY Fed regional survey\, 8:30 AM ET\, first regional read of the month.\n\nGold: Minor\; prices-paid line is the only gold-relevant bit.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.newyorkfed.org/survey/empire/empiresurvey_overview
URL:https://www.newyorkfed.org/survey/empire/empiresurvey_overview
CATEGORIES:GROWTH
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:retail-2026-12-16@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261216T133000Z
DTEND:20261216T140000Z
SUMMARY:Retail sales (advance)
DESCRIPTION:Nov 2026\nAdvance monthly retail sales and the control group\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Control group feeds the GDP nowcast. A big miss reads as growth scare (gold up)\; a beat reads as no-cut (gold down).\n\nBot: Half size. Same-morning overlap with CPI/PPI is common\; treat the pair as one event.\n\nhttps://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/
URL:https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/
CATEGORIES:CONSUMER
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:ip-2026-12-16@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261216T141500Z
DTEND:20261216T144500Z
SUMMARY:Industrial production (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Fed G.17 industrial production and capacity utilisation\, 9:15 AM ET.\n\nGold: Small direct effect on gold.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g17/
URL:https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g17/
CATEGORIES:GROWTH
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:imports-2026-12-17@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261217T133000Z
DTEND:20261217T140000Z
SUMMARY:Import & export prices
DESCRIPTION:Nov 2026\nImport and export price indexes\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: A dollar and tariff pass-through read\; small direct effect.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
URL:https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
CATEGORIES:INFLATION
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:starts-2026-12-17@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261217T133000Z
DTEND:20261217T140000Z
SUMMARY:Housing starts & permits
DESCRIPTION:Nov 2026\nNew residential construction\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Rate-sensitive sector read\; small direct effect on gold.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/
URL:https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/
CATEGORIES:HOUSING
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:philly-2026-12-17@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261217T133000Z
DTEND:20261217T140000Z
SUMMARY:Philly Fed manufacturing (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Philadelphia Fed regional survey\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Small direct effect on gold.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.philadelphiafed.org/surveys-and-data/regional-economic-analysis/manufacturing-business-outlook-survey
URL:https://www.philadelphiafed.org/surveys-and-data/regional-economic-analysis/manufacturing-business-outlook-survey
CATEGORIES:GROWTH
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:claims-2026-12-17@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261217T133000Z
DTEND:20261217T140000Z
SUMMARY:Initial jobless claims
DESCRIPTION:Weekly unemployment insurance claims\, Thursday 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Most weeks this is noise. It matters when the four-week average breaks a trend\, or when it lands the same morning as another 8:30 print.\n\nBot: Log\; include in the regime feature (4-week average).\n\nhttps://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
URL:https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
CATEGORIES:LABOR
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:opex-2026-12-18@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261218T210000Z
DTEND:20261218T213000Z
SUMMARY:Quad witching
DESCRIPTION:Monthly equity index expiration (quad witching in Mar/Jun/Sep/Dec).\n\nGold: Gold options on COMEX expire separately\, but index expiry days carry odd flows and pinned prices.\n\nBot: Reduce size into the close.\n\nhttps://www.cmegroup.com/
URL:https://www.cmegroup.com/
CATEGORIES:MARKET
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:existing-2026-12-22@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261222T150000Z
DTEND:20261222T153000Z
SUMMARY:Existing home sales (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:NAR existing home sales\, 10:00 AM ET.\n\nGold: Small direct effect on gold.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.nar.realtor/research-and-statistics/housing-statistics/existing-home-sales
URL:https://www.nar.realtor/research-and-statistics/housing-statistics/existing-home-sales
CATEGORIES:HOUSING
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2026-12-22@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261222T180000Z
DTEND:20261222T183000Z
SUMMARY:5-year TIPS auction (reopening)
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:pce-2026-12-23@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261223T133000Z
DTEND:20261223T140000Z
SUMMARY:★ PCE price index (Personal Income & Outlays)
DESCRIPTION:Nov 2026\nPersonal Income and Outlays with the Fed's preferred inflation gauge\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Core PCE is what the Fed targets. Mostly priced after CPI and PPI\, so the surprise is small\, but a miss versus the nowcast still moves gold 0.5%+.\n\nBot: Trade the deviation from the CPI/PPI-implied nowcast\, not from consensus.\n\nhttps://www.bea.gov/news/schedule
URL:https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule
CATEGORIES:INFLATION
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:gdp-2026-12-23@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261223T133000Z
DTEND:20261223T140000Z
SUMMARY:GDP third estimate
DESCRIPTION:Q3 2026\nQuarterly GDP. The advance estimate moves markets\; second and third are revisions.\n\nGold: Advance GDP matters when it collides with the growth-scare narrative. The GDP price index inside it is a sleeper inflation input.\n\nBot: Advance: normal size. Revisions: log only.\n\nhttps://www.bea.gov/news/schedule
URL:https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule
CATEGORIES:GROWTH
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:durables-2026-12-23@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261223T133000Z
DTEND:20261223T140000Z
SUMMARY:Durable goods orders
DESCRIPTION:Nov 2026\nAdvance durable goods\, 8:30 AM ET. Core capital goods is the signal.\n\nGold: It rarely moves gold unless it lands alone on a quiet morning.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/
URL:https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/
CATEGORIES:GROWTH
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:newhome-2026-12-23@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261223T150000Z
DTEND:20261223T153000Z
SUMMARY:New home sales
DESCRIPTION:Nov 2026\nNew residential sales\, 10:00 AM ET.\n\nGold: Small direct effect on gold.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/
URL:https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/
CATEGORIES:HOUSING
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:umich-2026-12-23@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261223T150000Z
DTEND:20261223T153000Z
SUMMARY:UMich consumer sentiment (final) (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Preliminary (second Friday) and final (fourth Friday) sentiment plus inflation expectations\, 10:00 AM ET.\n\nGold: The 1-year and 5-year inflation expectations lines move gold more than the headline.\n\nBot: Log\; trade only if 5-year expectations jump 0.3pp+.\n\nhttps://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/
URL:https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/
CATEGORIES:SENTIMENT
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2026-12-23@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261223T180000Z
DTEND:20261223T183000Z
SUMMARY:20-year bond auction (reopening)
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:claims-2026-12-24@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261224T133000Z
DTEND:20261224T140000Z
SUMMARY:Initial jobless claims
DESCRIPTION:Weekly unemployment insurance claims\, Thursday 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Most weeks this is noise. It matters when the four-week average breaks a trend\, or when it lands the same morning as another 8:30 print.\n\nBot: Log\; include in the regime feature (4-week average).\n\nhttps://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
URL:https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
CATEGORIES:LABOR
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2026-12-28@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261228T180000Z
DTEND:20261228T183000Z
SUMMARY:2-year note auction
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2026-12-28-1@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261228T180000Z
DTEND:20261228T183000Z
SUMMARY:5-year note auction
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:confb-2026-12-29@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261229T150000Z
DTEND:20261229T153000Z
SUMMARY:Conference Board consumer confidence (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Last Tuesday of the month\, 10:00 AM ET.\n\nGold: Labor differential (jobs plentiful minus hard to get) is the useful line.\n\nBot: Log only.\n\nhttps://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidence
URL:https://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidence
CATEGORIES:SENTIMENT
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2026-12-29@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261229T180000Z
DTEND:20261229T183000Z
SUMMARY:7-year note auction
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:claims-2026-12-31@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20261231T133000Z
DTEND:20261231T140000Z
SUMMARY:Initial jobless claims
DESCRIPTION:Weekly unemployment insurance claims\, Thursday 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Most weeks this is noise. It matters when the four-week average breaks a trend\, or when it lands the same morning as another 8:30 print.\n\nBot: Log\; include in the regime feature (4-week average).\n\nhttps://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
URL:https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
CATEGORIES:LABOR
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:ism_m-2027-01-04@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20270104T150000Z
DTEND:20270104T153000Z
SUMMARY:ISM Manufacturing PMI (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:First business day of the month\, 10:00 AM ET. Prices-paid sub-index is the inflation read.\n\nGold: Prices paid above 60 is a hawkish tell. Headline below 48 revives the growth-scare bid for gold.\n\nBot: Half size on the 10:00 print\; watch prices paid.\n\nhttps://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/
URL:https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/
CATEGORIES:GROWTH
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:ism_s-2027-01-06@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20270106T150000Z
DTEND:20270106T153000Z
SUMMARY:ISM Services PMI (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Third business day of the month\, 10:00 AM ET.\n\nGold: Services is 70% of the economy. Employment and prices sub-indices drive the reaction.\n\nBot: Half size.\n\nhttps://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/
URL:https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/
CATEGORIES:GROWTH
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:minutes-2027-01-06@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20270106T190000Z
DTEND:20270106T193000Z
SUMMARY:FOMC minutes (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Dec 8 to 9 meeting\nDetailed record of the prior meeting\, three weeks later at 2:00 PM ET.\n\nGold: Moves gold when the minutes reveal more dissent or a stronger lean than the statement did. The move is usually between 0.3 and 0.7 percent.\n\nBot: Reduce size\, do not flatten. Fade extreme first-minute moves.\n\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomcminutes.htm
URL:https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomcminutes.htm
CATEGORIES:FED
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:claims-2027-01-07@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20270107T133000Z
DTEND:20270107T140000Z
SUMMARY:Initial jobless claims (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Weekly unemployment insurance claims\, Thursday 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Most weeks this is noise. It matters when the four-week average breaks a trend\, or when it lands the same morning as another 8:30 print.\n\nBot: Log\; include in the regime feature (4-week average).\n\nhttps://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
URL:https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
CATEGORIES:LABOR
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:nfp-2027-01-08@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20270108T133000Z
DTEND:20270108T140000Z
SUMMARY:★ Jobs report (nonfarm payrolls) (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Dec 2026\nEmployment Situation: payrolls\, unemployment rate\, average hourly earnings\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Weak payrolls plus a rising unemployment rate is the classic gold rally. Watch revisions to the prior two months and average hourly earnings for the inflation angle.\n\nBot: Flat 15 min before. Three-factor score: payrolls surprise\, unemployment change\, AHE surprise. Fade if factors disagree.\n\nhttps://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
URL:https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
CATEGORIES:LABOR
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2027-01-11@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20270111T180000Z
DTEND:20270111T183000Z
SUMMARY:3-year note auction
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2027-01-12@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20270112T180000Z
DTEND:20270112T183000Z
SUMMARY:10-year note auction (reopening)
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:cpi-2027-01-13@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20270113T133000Z
DTEND:20270113T140000Z
SUMMARY:★ CPI (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Dec 2026\nConsumer Price Index\, headline and core\, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Core CPI vs consensus is the cleanest gold trade on the calendar. A hot core lifts real yields and hits gold\; a soft print does the opposite. The move is usually done within 20 minutes.\n\nBot: Flat 15 min before. Size the entry by (actual − consensus) / trailing surprise stdev. Exit by 9:30 open or on a 0.6% adverse move.\n\nhttps://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
URL:https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm
CATEGORIES:INFLATION
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2027-01-13@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20270113T180000Z
DTEND:20270113T183000Z
SUMMARY:30-year bond auction (reopening)
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:claims-2027-01-14@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20270114T133000Z
DTEND:20270114T140000Z
SUMMARY:Initial jobless claims (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Weekly unemployment insurance claims\, Thursday 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Most weeks this is noise. It matters when the four-week average breaks a trend\, or when it lands the same morning as another 8:30 print.\n\nBot: Log\; include in the regime feature (4-week average).\n\nhttps://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
URL:https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
CATEGORIES:LABOR
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2027-01-20@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20270120T180000Z
DTEND:20270120T183000Z
SUMMARY:20-year bond auction (reopening)
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:claims-2027-01-21@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20270121T133000Z
DTEND:20270121T140000Z
SUMMARY:Initial jobless claims (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Weekly unemployment insurance claims\, Thursday 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Most weeks this is noise. It matters when the four-week average breaks a trend\, or when it lands the same morning as another 8:30 print.\n\nBot: Log\; include in the regime feature (4-week average).\n\nhttps://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
URL:https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
CATEGORIES:LABOR
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2027-01-21@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20270121T180000Z
DTEND:20270121T183000Z
SUMMARY:10-year TIPS auction
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2027-01-25@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20270125T180000Z
DTEND:20270125T183000Z
SUMMARY:2-year note auction
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2027-01-26@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20270126T180000Z
DTEND:20270126T183000Z
SUMMARY:5-year note auction
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:fomc-2027-01-27@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20270127T190000Z
DTEND:20270127T193000Z
SUMMARY:★ FOMC rate decision
DESCRIPTION:Two-day meeting ends\nRate decision and statement at 2:00 PM ET. SEP meetings add the dot plot and projections.\n\nGold: This is the biggest scheduled driver of gold. Real yields and the dollar reprice on the statement\, then again on the press conference. A dovish surprise lifts gold\; hawkish dots sink it. A move of one or two percent inside an hour is normal.\n\nBot: Flat 30 min before. Trade the second move (press conference) rather than the first print. Widen stops threefold from 14:00 to 15:30.\n\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
URL:https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
CATEGORIES:FED
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:fomc_pc-2027-01-27@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20270127T193000Z
DTEND:20270127T200000Z
SUMMARY:★ Fed Chair press conference
DESCRIPTION:Chair's Q&A 30 minutes after the decision.\n\nGold: Often reverses the 2:00 PM move. Tone on the path of cuts matters more than the decision itself.\n\nBot: Treat 14:30 to 15:30 as one event window together with the decision.\n\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
URL:https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
CATEGORIES:FED
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:claims-2027-01-28@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20270128T133000Z
DTEND:20270128T140000Z
SUMMARY:Initial jobless claims (tentative)
DESCRIPTION:Weekly unemployment insurance claims\, Thursday 8:30 AM ET.\n\nGold: Most weeks this is noise. It matters when the four-week average breaks a trend\, or when it lands the same morning as another 8:30 print.\n\nBot: Log\; include in the regime feature (4-week average).\n\nhttps://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
URL:https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
CATEGORIES:LABOR
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:auction-2027-01-28@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20270128T180000Z
DTEND:20270128T183000Z
SUMMARY:7-year note auction
DESCRIPTION:Coupon auction\, results at 1:00 PM ET. Tail vs when-issued\, bid-to-cover and indirect share are the grades.\n\nGold: A tailing 10-year or 30-year auction pushes yields up and gold down for the afternoon\; a strong one does the reverse. 2/5/7-year auctions rarely matter.\n\nBot: 10y/30y: watch 13:00 to 13:30 for a yield impulse. Others: log only.\n\nhttps://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
URL:https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf
CATEGORIES:TREASURY
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:fomc-2027-03-17@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20270317T180000Z
DTEND:20270317T183000Z
SUMMARY:★ FOMC rate decision + projections (SEP)
DESCRIPTION:Two-day meeting ends\nRate decision and statement at 2:00 PM ET. SEP meetings add the dot plot and projections.\n\nGold: This is the biggest scheduled driver of gold. Real yields and the dollar reprice on the statement\, then again on the press conference. A dovish surprise lifts gold\; hawkish dots sink it. A move of one or two percent inside an hour is normal.\n\nBot: Flat 30 min before. Trade the second move (press conference) rather than the first print. Widen stops threefold from 14:00 to 15:30.\n\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
URL:https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
CATEGORIES:FED
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:fomc_pc-2027-03-17@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20270317T183000Z
DTEND:20270317T190000Z
SUMMARY:★ Fed Chair press conference
DESCRIPTION:Chair's Q&A 30 minutes after the decision.\n\nGold: Often reverses the 2:00 PM move. Tone on the path of cuts matters more than the decision itself.\n\nBot: Treat 14:30 to 15:30 as one event window together with the decision.\n\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
URL:https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
CATEGORIES:FED
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:fomc-2027-04-28@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20270428T180000Z
DTEND:20270428T183000Z
SUMMARY:★ FOMC rate decision
DESCRIPTION:Two-day meeting ends\nRate decision and statement at 2:00 PM ET. SEP meetings add the dot plot and projections.\n\nGold: This is the biggest scheduled driver of gold. Real yields and the dollar reprice on the statement\, then again on the press conference. A dovish surprise lifts gold\; hawkish dots sink it. A move of one or two percent inside an hour is normal.\n\nBot: Flat 30 min before. Trade the second move (press conference) rather than the first print. Widen stops threefold from 14:00 to 15:30.\n\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
URL:https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
CATEGORIES:FED
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:fomc_pc-2027-04-28@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20270428T183000Z
DTEND:20270428T190000Z
SUMMARY:★ Fed Chair press conference
DESCRIPTION:Chair's Q&A 30 minutes after the decision.\n\nGold: Often reverses the 2:00 PM move. Tone on the path of cuts matters more than the decision itself.\n\nBot: Treat 14:30 to 15:30 as one event window together with the decision.\n\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
URL:https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
CATEGORIES:FED
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:fomc-2027-06-09@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20270609T180000Z
DTEND:20270609T183000Z
SUMMARY:★ FOMC rate decision + projections (SEP)
DESCRIPTION:Two-day meeting ends\nRate decision and statement at 2:00 PM ET. SEP meetings add the dot plot and projections.\n\nGold: This is the biggest scheduled driver of gold. Real yields and the dollar reprice on the statement\, then again on the press conference. A dovish surprise lifts gold\; hawkish dots sink it. A move of one or two percent inside an hour is normal.\n\nBot: Flat 30 min before. Trade the second move (press conference) rather than the first print. Widen stops threefold from 14:00 to 15:30.\n\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
URL:https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
CATEGORIES:FED
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:fomc_pc-2027-06-09@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20270609T183000Z
DTEND:20270609T190000Z
SUMMARY:★ Fed Chair press conference
DESCRIPTION:Chair's Q&A 30 minutes after the decision.\n\nGold: Often reverses the 2:00 PM move. Tone on the path of cuts matters more than the decision itself.\n\nBot: Treat 14:30 to 15:30 as one event window together with the decision.\n\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
URL:https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
CATEGORIES:FED
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:fomc-2027-07-28@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20270728T180000Z
DTEND:20270728T183000Z
SUMMARY:★ FOMC rate decision
DESCRIPTION:Two-day meeting ends\nRate decision and statement at 2:00 PM ET. SEP meetings add the dot plot and projections.\n\nGold: This is the biggest scheduled driver of gold. Real yields and the dollar reprice on the statement\, then again on the press conference. A dovish surprise lifts gold\; hawkish dots sink it. A move of one or two percent inside an hour is normal.\n\nBot: Flat 30 min before. Trade the second move (press conference) rather than the first print. Widen stops threefold from 14:00 to 15:30.\n\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
URL:https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
CATEGORIES:FED
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:fomc_pc-2027-07-28@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20270728T183000Z
DTEND:20270728T190000Z
SUMMARY:★ Fed Chair press conference
DESCRIPTION:Chair's Q&A 30 minutes after the decision.\n\nGold: Often reverses the 2:00 PM move. Tone on the path of cuts matters more than the decision itself.\n\nBot: Treat 14:30 to 15:30 as one event window together with the decision.\n\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
URL:https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
CATEGORIES:FED
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:fomc-2027-09-15@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20270915T180000Z
DTEND:20270915T183000Z
SUMMARY:★ FOMC rate decision + projections (SEP)
DESCRIPTION:Two-day meeting ends\nRate decision and statement at 2:00 PM ET. SEP meetings add the dot plot and projections.\n\nGold: This is the biggest scheduled driver of gold. Real yields and the dollar reprice on the statement\, then again on the press conference. A dovish surprise lifts gold\; hawkish dots sink it. A move of one or two percent inside an hour is normal.\n\nBot: Flat 30 min before. Trade the second move (press conference) rather than the first print. Widen stops threefold from 14:00 to 15:30.\n\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
URL:https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
CATEGORIES:FED
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:fomc_pc-2027-09-15@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20270915T183000Z
DTEND:20270915T190000Z
SUMMARY:★ Fed Chair press conference
DESCRIPTION:Chair's Q&A 30 minutes after the decision.\n\nGold: Often reverses the 2:00 PM move. Tone on the path of cuts matters more than the decision itself.\n\nBot: Treat 14:30 to 15:30 as one event window together with the decision.\n\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
URL:https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
CATEGORIES:FED
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:fomc-2027-10-27@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20271027T180000Z
DTEND:20271027T183000Z
SUMMARY:★ FOMC rate decision
DESCRIPTION:Two-day meeting ends\nRate decision and statement at 2:00 PM ET. SEP meetings add the dot plot and projections.\n\nGold: This is the biggest scheduled driver of gold. Real yields and the dollar reprice on the statement\, then again on the press conference. A dovish surprise lifts gold\; hawkish dots sink it. A move of one or two percent inside an hour is normal.\n\nBot: Flat 30 min before. Trade the second move (press conference) rather than the first print. Widen stops threefold from 14:00 to 15:30.\n\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
URL:https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
CATEGORIES:FED
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:fomc_pc-2027-10-27@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20271027T183000Z
DTEND:20271027T190000Z
SUMMARY:★ Fed Chair press conference
DESCRIPTION:Chair's Q&A 30 minutes after the decision.\n\nGold: Often reverses the 2:00 PM move. Tone on the path of cuts matters more than the decision itself.\n\nBot: Treat 14:30 to 15:30 as one event window together with the decision.\n\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
URL:https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
CATEGORIES:FED
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:fomc-2027-12-08@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20271208T190000Z
DTEND:20271208T193000Z
SUMMARY:★ FOMC rate decision + projections (SEP)
DESCRIPTION:Two-day meeting ends\nRate decision and statement at 2:00 PM ET. SEP meetings add the dot plot and projections.\n\nGold: This is the biggest scheduled driver of gold. Real yields and the dollar reprice on the statement\, then again on the press conference. A dovish surprise lifts gold\; hawkish dots sink it. A move of one or two percent inside an hour is normal.\n\nBot: Flat 30 min before. Trade the second move (press conference) rather than the first print. Widen stops threefold from 14:00 to 15:30.\n\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
URL:https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
CATEGORIES:FED
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:fomc_pc-2027-12-08@macro-desk
DTSTAMP:20260907T175621Z
DTSTART:20271208T193000Z
DTEND:20271208T200000Z
SUMMARY:★ Fed Chair press conference
DESCRIPTION:Chair's Q&A 30 minutes after the decision.\n\nGold: Often reverses the 2:00 PM move. Tone on the path of cuts matters more than the decision itself.\n\nBot: Treat 14:30 to 15:30 as one event window together with the decision.\n\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
URL:https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
CATEGORIES:FED
END:VEVENT
END:VCALENDAR